Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – August 11th
I didn’t bet on the New York Mets yesterday, and I am going to gambling on the Mets now, but I wanted to have a couple of moments to recognize exactly what this group is performing at this time. After the Mets created the blockbuster move to acquire starting pitcher Marcus Stroman in the Toronto Blue Jays just before the July 31st trade deadline, the initial backlash was fierce. The pundits and fans had been scratching their heads, and also on paper, the move just didn’t create a whole lot of sense.
The Mets were seemingly from playoff contention and were supposed to be purchasing some of their best guys such as Eddie Diaz along with Noah Syndergaard. Instead, they retained all of their best guys and brought in Stroman from Toronto, in a desperate bid to get back into the playoff picture. Personally, I saw it among the more vexing moves of the last decade and laughed and thought to myself, as typical Mets movement, entirely assuming it would blow up in their head like so many trades have previously.
And then something changed for the Mets. They caught fire. And all the sudden this team needs to be feared from the National League. The Mets have reeled off fifteen wins in their past few games and are back to the ideal side of .500 and are only a half a game back of this second NL wild card. And it is not merely that they are winning, it’s the way they are winning. It is a different hero every night for all these miracle Mets. It appears that every night they get to a situation where they are going to lose and find a way to stage a successful comeback.
The number on New York today is too large to profitably back them since they are placing -200 with ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. But make sure that you keep your attention on this group. Baseball is a humorous game, and so much of it is centered around momentum. When you have it, then things just appear to break up your way. Whenever you don’t, there are times when you can’t get a win. Right now, the Mets surely have it. For today’s pick, we will visit Milwaukee where the Brewers are looking to sweep up the Texas Rangers.
The Texas Rangers have been at Milwaukee Sunday, hoping to avoid getting swept. The Rangers have dropped four straight games, two of those to the Brewers within this show, and their season is rapidly winding to a close. While Texas did not maintain the fire sale that many expected at the trade deadline, but they also did not go out and acquire much talent, and the Rangers are now nine matches back of the 2nd wild card from the American League.
For the Brewers, they did a terrific job of adding several capable arms to their staff as they added men like Drew Pomeranz, Jake Faria, Ray Black, and tonight’s rookie Jordan Lyles. Along with the motions are starting to really provide this squad an increase as they have won five straight games and are now only a game and a half back of the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central Division race.
Starting today for the Brewers is Jordan Lyles (7-7 4.97 ERA), and also for the Rangers, it is Mike Minor (10-6 3.06 ERA). The game total over-under is place at nine runs. The Brewers are -126 favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 AM PST from Miller Park in Milwaukee.
Sometimes a trade simply does not seem to generate a good deal of sense when it is initially made. That was the case with all the Mets and Marcus Stroman, which was also true once the Brewers brought in starting pitcher Jordan Lyles. Lyles was fighting through a dreadful season before being transferred. In his past four starts before getting exchanged, Lyles had gotten blasted for twenty-five runs in only seventeen innings worked. I don’t know off hand what ERA which adds up to, but it’s really large. And you need to remember, this guy was pitching for the Pittsburgh Pirates, at precisely exactly the same division as the Brewers.
So, it was tough to expect the guy to become much better in Milwaukee as he was in Pittsburgh. But he sure has figured things out so much in Milwaukee! In his two begins with his new group, he has pitched a joint ten innings and has allowed just two earned runs, and the Brewers won both matches. Occasionally a change of scenery out of a last-place team from contention to a team directly in the combination of a pennant race is all it takes to find a man to flip things around.
Mike Minor is suffering through the exact contrary of what Jordan Lyles is moving through in that most people expected him to have traded to a competitor, and he ended up staying in Texas. Minor was a favorite trade target for several competing groups, but a deal could not be created, and here he’s currently finishing out his season with a Rangers team heading .
And it seemed like the strain of possibly getting traded was wearing on Minor as he had been awful at July. Going into July, Minor was 8-4 with a 2.40 ERA and was selected to the Al All-Star team. But during the month leading up to the trade deadline, then he was only 1-2 having a 6.59 ERA in five starts, and the Rangers went 1-4 in those five games. Those struggles may have been kept Minor in Texas as his value dropped at the inappropriate moment. Minor’s first post-trade deadline start was a great one as he pitched seven shutout innings against the Cleveland Indians.
This is an intriguing game. A month before, I’d have enjoyed financing Minor getting pet money. But he has struggled since then, and I am not confident he can move in and shut down a good hitting team like the Brewers. And when you look at this Texas lineup, they simply aren’t the same without Joey Gallo about the field.
With Gallo sidelined with injury, this team is 28th in the majors in runs scored in the month of August. They are scoring just over three runs a game, and they’re hitting an abysmal .206 as a team. While I am not all that convinced that Lyles can keep his good outcomes, I know that the Brewers will not be leaving him into the game all that long anyway as they love to turn matters over to their bullpen in any sign of distress.
I think Minor gets roughed up a while, and also the Brewers with a questionnaire of Lyles and their bullpen, find a way to make the most of the slumping Rangers lineup and finish the sweep. I talked above about endings, and at the moment, the Brewers have this, and the Rangers don’t. And I am going to make the most of these trends and fire on the Brewers now. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers now as home favorites in match three from Miller Park at -126!
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